Monday, September 17, 2007

The week ahead

We have certainly a volatile week ahead of us, the so called experts are in disagreement more than ever and , are all over the map as for the direction of the market. Fed meeting on Tuesday, Brokerage houses earnings this week and option expiration on Friday are good enough reasons for staying out and wait till dust settles down. Well knowing myself, I can not do that so already took some bullish position on hi-tech favorites such as AAPL and RIMM and stay long on SIGM.
I was also doing some research this weekend for some buying candidates and of course some shorts as well. On the long side , the EDO from Aerospace &Defense sector is my new pick. The industry seems to be recession proof and not even sensitive to who is politically in charge, they just go one way now no matter who is in the white house. The stock moved sharply higher in the past 6 months so its not exactly a hidden gem, but I will try to grab some Oct calls soon, I stay with my hi-tech picks and would grab more RIMM on any pull-backs. Here are my two short picks: I was basically looking into 52 weeks lows list and Most % loser's list to get my clue for picking few short candidates. Cardinal Health inc. (CAH) is my first pick in this category. The stock closed at $64.67 (down 4.8%) on Friday, after the company revised guidance for its supply chain division. I did not need to read more into the news , obviously it was a downward revision. For those who are in reading charts , you can take a look at the P&F chart and you will see "Double bottom breakdown on Sept 14th". My next two Short candidates are on the 52 weeks lows (after all stocks end up on that list for a reason), GYI and RAIL. Getty Images Inc (GYI) closed at $28.76. GYI is on Zack's "Strong Sell List" since August 8th based on drop in analyst estimates. I don't want to even mention P&F chart in this case, it was a screaming short since August 14th. The rail road stock improved in the past three weeks as a group but the weakness in RAIL can not be ignored, I would wait for some sort of bounce and then short RAIL.

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