Read this blog posting in
"Tomorrow's Newspaper" , I buy that argument and anticipate a rally from here but these rallies are good selling opportunities. The longer term trend is downwards and I am looking into shorting some yesterday's favorites.The posting is about broader market down trend, but I did my "random" walk examining the sectors and their ranking changes in the past 1 or 2 months, came across "Schools" which are dropped heavily in the past month or so. Schools were doing great in 2007 but from early Feb they are in trouble.
Apollo group (APOL) dropped from 70 to 54 in less than a month, broke the uptrend and signals more pressure in upcoming days. Stochastics point to over-sold situation and I think this may have 2 to 5 points to up side and then heading right back down the spiral to 48-50 this time. I am looking at buying some puts when
APOL gets to 61-62 range, The SCHOOL group as a whole is in trouble, and my take is, big money out-flow from this sector (began 1 or 2 months back).
Another Matter totally unrelated to APOL case,
Gold seems to be the safe haven for frightened soles. Even speculative names in the sector is getting hot when a sector is in favor. I like
GLD for long time now but never traded it, this issue (
KBX ) is extremely speculative but I just may get into it to see how it feels, the volume is rather high in the past month and its over bought but it seems to point to a directional trade (upwards) for 20-to 30% higher than its price today in a short period of time.
