Week of Nov. 16th Watch List

SHORTS: NAV, RCII, FIF.

Week of Oct. 19th, 2009

Short: SHAW, BWA

Short Candidates: GVA, IRM

GVA, IRM

Week of Sept 21st - Watch List

LONG: ARNA,ETFC,FRGB,MDVN,SXCI



SHORT: CAB, IRM , MCO

Week of Sept 8th

Long: BVN, ININ, YRCW





SHORT: PENN, MHP, MCO

Some short ideas

GE: Struggling under its 200 D MA
ERTS and LMT.

Lots of rotation Not much pull-back

I am staying net short for a few days more, to see some correction at least.

SHORT List: DIN, KR, ALGT, ASEI
LONG List: GBX, GY

More SHORT candidates ...

Buy Puts on ERTS
First-quarter results beat expectations, analysts worried about sales of sports games and new releases

Banks, Energy, Gold and Ag. ETF/Stocks for Long side this week

Update: Aug. 5th, 09:
On Short List: FCN, HLF, ORLY, PPL, USM
Long: SGR





Tech. stocks loosing momentum and its upto other sectors, to take S&P t 1000. I am looking at some ETF's and their derivitives and belive there are stocks and ETF's to buy this week. I looked at XLF, XLE, OIH, GLD, DBA and MOO. DBA & MOO are interesting since looking at Sept Soybeans/Corn and Wheat , I see some buying after months of low prices. So ETF's like DBO and MOO should see some gains.

Long Healtcare (XLV) and more ...

Need to see if the sell-off towards the mark end spills to tomorrow's trading, if not I like couple of ideas.

LONG XLV or CI
LONG ASIA (Buy Sept 20 Calls)
SHORT TBT (Buy puts or Calls on TLT).

Pair Trade Buy CAKE Sell DIN

I am looking at this pair trade:

Long CAKE (Buy Sept Calls)
Short DIN (Buy Sept Puts -- This had a very bad day yesterday I probably wait for some rebound)

Also like SPF on a dip, target price $5.

Bullish on China and Hi Tech.

China Long: FXI, ACH, HAO

Tech Long: RFMD (out on 7/24)

Short Candidates (Updated on 7/24/09):

BRCM

JULY 2009 Watch List

LONG:

{VPRT, WDC }

SHORT:

{ILMN, MANH, CLR}

GB Pound is getting ready to move higher vs. U$D

FXB 165 Calls!

Large % drop in Price an High Volume

CAH & HES

Could things get any worse for Education/School Group

I am looking at ESI and APOL in School group which is the weakest group among broad sectors of the equity market. There is a SHORT trade here somewhere, maybe buying Puts on ESI.
I am also short HOG.

Nat. Gas & Coal seems to go lower

With KOL sitting at its 200 MA I looked at JRCC and MEE which seems forming bullish pattern earlier this week, now turning all down. UNG: Natural Gas also dropped more than 9% yesterday and looking to head for the retest of 12.69. Not looking good boys! SPY also is capped at its 200 MA and turning south. I am net negative right now, sold some of my FWLT's and holding puts on SPY and OSIP and some INTC June 15 puts as well. (which I will cover real soon).

How to play weakening Dollar?

I am tracking several currency ETF' (against USD)

Also have a channel on Finviz.com for tracking USD vs. World!: http://www.finviz.com/collaborate.ashx?si=1

Buy AG. Names on the DIP

Not decided which one yet! Should I go with the one already made significant move and proven to be in more demand, or believe the lower PE ones will play "catch-up" soon.
{ SQM, IPI, LXU, AGU, POT, MOS }

After Lows' earnings yesterday, I turn more positive towards home builders and housing related
XHB and HD would be my choice for trading in this space. I did buy FWLT yesterday (19% of trading money at this point). I will by calls on XHB or HD tomorow on any pull-back.



One SHORT Idea: OSIP

Long Candidates ...

TTM (Tata Motors): http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3490416831/

MELI: http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3490414515/in/photostream/

More SHORT candidates ...

More SHORT candidates:

AEM: http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3485738218/
RCII: http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3484981421/
{ Let this one bounce a little from here }

On My Radar for Wk April 27th, 2009

LONG Candidates: Eastman Chemicals beating estimates and stocks exploded 20% higher on 3 times volume"...

* Q1 adjusted EPS 25 cents vs. estimate of 14 cents

* Sales down 35 percent

[DOW may also be a good BUY based on the sector move and good news from EMN]

I missed the impressive move in Apparel/Accessories Group, hope not too late for putting them on my radar screen.

SHORT Candidate: Netflix (NFLX):

The company raised its subscriber and earnings targets but gave a guidance that disappointed some
analysts.

2009-04-11_AEM_SHORT

2009-04-11_AEM_SHORT
Originally uploaded by SouthBayTrader

Bearish on Gold! ... This one looks like a god short when stocks hit its 200 MA (50.23) expecting drop to 36-40 level.

2009-04-11_GS_LONG

2009-04-11_GS_LONG
Originally uploaded by SouthBayTrader

Waiting for pull-back to 112 (200-MA)

Look into Insider Buying for Wells Fargo

IMHO Overall markets are EXTREMELY OVER-SOLD {DIA, SPY, QQQQ}(Perhaps for good reasons) I am not saying markets are oversold , so people should be buying now but for the short term its over-sold and maybe due for a bounce. Rebounds in the bear markets are selling oppurtunities and should not be trusted. 

However I was looking at some banks/financial institutions: Wells Fargo , Morgan Stanley and Goldman Saks (GS) are rated higher than others and for my gambling money perhaps bank of America (BAC) Look at Insider buying in the past 3 days for Wells Fargo, I hope we get yet another down day on Monday and pick up some Wells Fargo and/or Morgan Stanley (MS).

WFC Insider Buying